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US could bomb Iran in 2007

* Analysts say US military invasion of Iran not on table

WASHINGTON: President George W Bush could choose military action over diplomacy and bomb Iran’s nuclear facilities next year, political analysts in Washington agree.

“I think he is going to do it,” said John Pike, director of Globalsecurity.org, a military issues think tank.

“They are going to bomb WMD facilities next summer,” he added, referring to Iran’s nuclear facilities. “It would be a limited military action to destroy their WMD capabilities,” he added, believing a US military invasion of Iran was not on the table.

US journalist Seymour Hersh also said at the weekend that White House hawks led by Vice President Dick Cheney were intent on attacking Iran with or without the approval of the US Congress.

Joseph Cirincione, senior vice president for National Security and International Policy at the Centre for American Progress, a Democrat-friendly think tank, also believes the US government could decide to attack Iran. “It is not realistic but it does not mean we won’t do it,” he told AFP in an interview. “It is less likely after the elections but it is still very possible.”

“If you look at what the administration is doing, it seems that it is going to inevitably lead us to a military conflict,” he said, adding that no alternative solution was being sought, including discussions with Iran on Iraq, which could lead to talks on Iran’s nuclear program and role in the region.

“Senior members of the (Bush) administration remain seized with the idea that the regime in Iran must be removed,” Cirincione said. “The nuclear programme is one reason, but their deeper agenda is this belief that American military power can be used to fundamentally transform the regimes in the Middle East,” he added.

With the resignation of Defence Secretary Donald Rumsfeld, hardliners in the government have lost one of their leading advocates, and his replacement, former Central Intelligence Agency chief Robert Gates, has in the past favoured direct talks with Iran, said the expert. “But they remain within the administration at the highest level, the office of the vice president, the national security council staff, perhaps the president himself,” Cirincione added.

He also accused neoconservative circles of promoting the military option against Tehran.

In a Sunday op-ed piece in the Los Angeles Times, Joshua Muarvchik, resident scholar at the neoconservative American Enterprise Institute, called for getting tough with Iran. “We must bomb Iran,” he said. “The path of diplomacy and sanctions has led nowhere ... Our options therefore are narrowed to two: we can prepare to live with a nuclear-armed Iran, or we can use force to prevent it.”

Israel has also been pushing Washington to get tough on Iran. Israeli Deputy Defence Minister Ephraim Sneh did not rule out preventive military action to stop Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons, in a recent interview with the English-language Jerusalem Post. AFP

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